1. Executive Summary

2. Methodology

3. The race to deploy ultra broadband has begun
• USA - Asia - Europe
• Case studies: the UK and France

4. Switching to ultra high-speed: new digital home applications
4.1. Digitized content and digital devices
4.2. Spurring a growing demand for bandwidth

5. Is satellite a crucial technology for supplying end users with access?
5.1. Properties of two-way access
5.1.1. How it works
5.1.2. Technical details on use of the Ka band
5.1.3. Economic advantages of using the Ka band
5.1.4. Increasingly competitive commercial offers
5.1.5. Latency not a major problem
5.2. A technology that’s back in the news
5.2.1. In North America
5.2.2. In Asia
5.2.3. In Europe

6. Competing with terrestrial technologies
6.1. Wireline technologies still dominate, but wireless ultra high-speed progressing quickly
6.1.1. Wireline technologies still dominate the market: xDSL and cable modem
6.1.2. Market development
6.1.3. Tremendously popularity of wireless cellular network technologies boosted by smartphones
6.1.4. Alternative wireless technologies: Wi-Fi and WiMAX
6.1.5. Market development
6.2. Outlook for new generation ultra broadband technologies
6.2.1. FTTH
6.2.2. Market development
6.2.3. The future of mobile and 4G solutions

7. Satellite struggling to compete
7.1. Technological competitiveness
7.2. An effective solution for reducing the digital divide
7.3. Local authorities playing a decisive role in choosing the solutions to be used
7.3.1. Growing success of subscriber access points in dead zones
7.3.2. “NRA-ZO”, satellite, WiMAX, 3G: who’s going to win?
7.3.3. Coverage limits for FTTH that could revive interest in satellite
7.4. Digital terrestrial TV/broadband combination a sure development path for satellite
7.4.1. Satellite DTT can be combined with the SES Astra Astra2Connect offer
7.4.2. Eutelsat could pirouette and follow suit

8. Market segmentation criteria
8.1. Socio-economic criteria
• PC penetration, GDP per capita, rural population density
8.2. Criteria applied to terrestrial broadband and ultra broadband rollouts
• DSL, FTTx and 3G network coverage
• Broadband access: penetration, access speeds, prices
8.3. Criteria applied to the development of satellite TV
• Satellite dish equipment levels
• Penetration levels for satellite pay-TV offers
8.4. Main issues and areas of uncertainty
• Tied to the development of wireline and wireless networks
• Tied to the TV market structure and public authority involvement
8.5. Forecasts for satellite subscribers and repeaters employed, 2010-2014

9. Future superfast broadband technologies
9.1 Future is no longer Ka, but Q and V
9.2 Glossary

• What plans have European countries adopted to reduce the digital divide?

• Is satellite part of the solutions included in these plans?

• Does satellite have a part to play in the current race to deploy ultra broadband?

• What assets does satellite have compared to LTE?

• What is the potential market for a high-speed satellite solution between now and 2014?



> The report is delivered with its database

• Wild Blue
• Hughes Communications
• ViaSat
• TeleSat
• IPStar
• Avanti Broadband
• Eutelsat Tooway and Satellite KA-SAT
• SES Astra Astra2Connect

Table 1: A selection of national European plans
Table 2: A selection of national European plans
Table 3: The three FTTH/B rollout zones defined in France
Table 4: Network digitization
Table 5: Digital home market drivers
Table 6: Comparison of some of the offers available in France in 2004 and in 2010
Table 7: Future range of bitrates expected to be supplied by the Tooway solution, based on KA-SAT
Table 8: Properties of xDSL technologies
Table 9: Features of cable modem standards
Table 10: Properties of cable technologies
Table 11 Properties of 3G technologies
Table 12: Performance supplied by 802.11 standards
Table 13: Properties of Wi-Fi technologies
Table 14: Fixed WiMAX performance
Table 15: Properties of WiMAX technologies
Table 16: Description of mobile Internet offers available in a selection of countries at the end of 2009
Table 17: UK vendor pricing, at the end of 2009
Table 18: Examples of WiMAX rollouts that are underway or being planned in Europe and North Africa (end of 2009)
Table 19: The different Ethernet-based FTTH/B network configurations
Table 20: Properties of WiMAX technologies
Table 21: Significant FTTH/B rollouts in Europe as of the end of 2009
Table 22: Properties of 4G technologies
Table 23: Access rates achieved by LTE in the 2.6 GHz band (2x20 MHz, MIMO 2x2)
Table 24: Access rates achieved by LTE in the 800 MHz band (2x10MHZ, MIMO 2X2)
Table 25: Strengths and weaknesses of the main Internet access technologies
Table 26: Estimated number of households not connected to a fixed broadband network at the end of 2008
Table 27: Local authorities’ WiMAX rollout strategies
Table 28: Status of WiMAX rollouts in France, at the end of 2008
Table 29: Examples of residential market FTTH rollouts initiated by local authorities
Table 30: The TNTSat offer

 ***

Figure 1: Changing consumption patterns demand increased bitrates
Figure 2: Forecasts for the number of residential two-way broadband satellite subscribers, 2010-2014
Figure 3: List of countries examined in this report
Figure 4: Location of poor quality lines in the UK
Figure 5: Broadband eligibility (ADSL and fibre)
Figure 6: CAPEX needed to cover the entire population of France with FTTH access
Figure 7: Planned scenarios for supplying the whole of France with ultra high-speed access
Figure 8: Changes in consumption made possible by increased access rates
Figure 9: The pioneer digital home and associated bandwidth
Figure 10: How two-way Internet access via satellite works
Figure 11: Hughes’s global footprint
Figure 12: Example of beam coverage with frequency reuse
Figure 13: Estimated cost of bandwidth for Ka-band systems (launched satellite)
Figure 14: Change in the price of a broadband satellite reception terminal
Figure 15: Main uses of the Internet
Figure 16: Main uses of the Internet in French households
Figure 17: Breakdown of Internet users by age group, for each application
Figure 18: Growth of the WildBlue subscriber base
Figure 19: Breakdown of WildBlue subscribers by population density
Figure 20: Impact of WildBlue on Ka-band terminal shipments in the United States
Figure 21: Residential Internet access services marketed by WildBlue
Figure 22: Growth of HughesNet subscribers
Figure 23: The new service architecture with the SpaceWay 3 satellite
Figure 24: The Spaceway transmission system
Figure 25: Residential Internet access services marketed by Hughes
Figure 26: Coverage provided by the Viasat-1
Figure 27: ViaSat-1 development roadmap
Figure 28: Estimation of the ViaSat-1’s capacity, in Gbps, compared to other Ka, Ku and C-band satellites in North America
Figure 29: Advantages of the Viasat-1
Figure 30: Growth of the installed base of Ka-band terminals in Canada
Figure 31: Coverage provided by the Thaicom 4/IPStar satellite
Figure 32: IPSTAR service footprint at the end of 2009
Figure 33: The IPSTAR service’s footprint as of mid-2009
Figure 34: Geographical breakdown of IPSTAR customers in Australia
Figure 35: Growth of IPSTAR terminal sales
Figure 36: Breakdown of IPSTAR terminal shipments by sector, at the end of 2009
Figure 37: Current coverage of the Avanti service on Intelsat IS-903
Figure 38: Performance of the HylasOne satellite
Figure 39: Footprint of the service provided by Avanti
Figure 40: Avanti business model at the end of 2008
Figure 41: Tooway Ka and Ku-band coverage
Figure 42: Tooway offers distributed by Sat2Way in France, as of January 2010
Figure 43: Coverage provided by the Eutelsat Ka-Sat
Figure 44: The Sat3Play system architecture
Figure 45: Triple play via Astra2Connect
Figure 46: SES Global’s market view
Figure 47: Range of speeds offered by Nordnet
Figure 48: Combined high-speed access/TV reception via satellite
Figure 49: DSL variants, according to downstream bitrate
Figure 50: Theoretical performance of ADSL2+, VDSL and VDSL2
Figure 51: DOCSIS 3.0 deployments in Europe
Figure 52: European broadband market structure by access technology, Q4 2009
Figure 53: North African broadband market structure by access technology, Q4 2009
Figure 54: Change in the monthly price of a basic DSL service
Figure 55: Number of sites for covering the population with HSxPA and Mobile WiMAX
Figure 56: Mobile Internet development in the United States in 2008-2009
Figure 57: Percentage of broadband subscribers who are mobile broadband subscribers, as of June 2008
Figure 58: Rate of mobile Internet use in the past six months, by age group
Figure 59: Growth of the number of daily hits in the US, by mobile application, 2008-2009
Figure 60: Mobile Internet applications in France in 2009
Figure 61: Where French users access the mobile Internet in 2008
Figure 62: Comparative use of applications by iPhone and smartphone users vs. owners of standard mobile handsets, in 2008
Figure 63: Growth of mobile handset sales worldwide, 2007-2013
Figure 64: Broadband customer growth, 2007-2014
Figure 65: Growth forecasts for mobile IP traffic worldwide, up to 2013
Figure 66: Volume of mobile IP traffic compared to total IP traffic, in 2009 and 2013
Figure 67: WiMAX network rollouts around the globe at the end of 2009
Figure 68: Future WiMAX subscriber base
Figure 69: Population covered by WiMAX networks at the end of 2009
Figure 70: Different possible FTTH/B network configurations
Figure 71: Different components of an FTTH/B network
Figure 72: A ring network configuration
Figure 73: Global 3G LTE system rollouts (starting in 2010-2011)
Figure 74: The path from GSM to 3GLTE
Figure 75: Timetable for freeing up spectrum in the 2500-2690 MHz band in France
Figure 78: Future of mobile technologies
Figure 79: Comparison of current technologies
Figure 80: Satellite’s positioning for supplying broadband access services in rural areas
Figure 81: Strategy for reducing the digital divide, and goals
Figure 82: Winds footprint (Kizuna)
Figure 83: Distance from the ADSL exchange, depending on location
Figure 84: The “NRA-ZO” system in France
Figure 85: Local authorities’ area of involvement since regulatory changes adopted in 2004
Figure 86: Cost of an FTTH connection, according to Alcatel-Lucent
Figure 87: Cost of an FTTH connection, according to UK regulator, Ofcom
Figure 88: Map of the switchover from analogue to digital terrestrial broadcasting
Figure 89: Diagram of the equipment needed to receive the TNTSat service
Figure 90: DTT/broadband via satellite combination
Figure 91: PC penetration rate in 2007
Figure 92: GDP per capita in 2009
Figure 93: Population density in Europe
Figure 94: Population density in North Africa
Figure 95: Total DSL network coverage at the end of 2008 (% of the population)
Figure 96: DSL coverage of urban and suburban areas at the end of 2008 (% of the population)
Figure 97: DSL coverage of rural areas at the end of 2008 (% of the population)
Figure 98: Growth in the number of homes passed in Europe since mid-2005
Figure 99: FTTx network coverage at the end of 2008 (% of the population)
Figure 100: Total 3G network coverage at the end of 2008 (% of the population)
Figure 101: 3G network coverage in rural areas at the end of 2008 (% of the population)
Figure 102: Broadband penetration as of Q32008
Figure 103: End-user DSL bitrates in Europe and North Africa, at the end of 2008
Figure 104: End-user cable bitrates in Europe and North Africa, at the end of 2008
Figure 105: Average price of a broadband offer (DSL & Cable) at the end of June 2009 – 4Mbps downlink
Figure 106: Average price of a broadband offer (DSL & Cable) at the end of 2009 – 10 Mbps downlink
Figure 107: Percentage of households equipped with a satellite dish at the end of 2008
Figure 108: DTH subscriber base at the end of 2008
Figure 109: Forecasts for the number of residential two-way broadband satellite subscribers, 2010-2014
Figure 110: Terabit satellite in the development stage at ESA